Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.867038 13.311348 14.960378 17.005058 19.504711 22.505418 26.450688
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.049297 11.806242 13.966003 16.883155 20.832909 26.179685 34.331251
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.927534 10.800681 13.216289 16.674354 21.712706 29.191718 42.097493
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.185991 10.133742 12.743190 16.661976 22.742718 32.555864 51.672079
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.678671 9.696239 12.491007 16.873238 24.085825 36.723488 64.729589
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.076397 9.056580 11.862977 16.398548 24.188207 38.711397 74.443925
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.688170 8.677589 11.564064 16.379205 25.036686 42.339922 90.610137
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.226227 8.151445 10.988713 15.824212 24.798320 43.651445 101.568861
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.761080 7.587546 10.307320 15.009703 23.927588 43.328025 107.313511
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.383925 7.131212 9.759021 14.365921 23.289557 43.391225 114.792081
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.526072 7.463138 10.477859 16.027816 27.635225 57.497547 203.261775
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.458911 7.465617 10.659437 16.735024 30.139958 68.227709 315.595412
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.115135 7.026427 10.092579 15.994290 29.273492 68.463155 356.496757
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.906993 6.792003 9.857741 15.881219 29.915137 74.318872 495.187628
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.705895 6.556109 9.600880 15.690934 30.324881 79.697109 695.841917
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.549876 6.383947 9.441454 15.679640 31.203807 87.711488 1137.259199
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.436274 6.274298 9.383387 15.872273 32.694482 99.913839 2531.290925
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.243596 6.022928 9.052269 15.439282 32.309267 102.776724 4054.580787
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.121374 5.883735 8.916718 15.421625 33.159215 113.306423 15351.420388
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.943161 5.641849 8.577323 14.914622 32.411145 114.011976 37792.741373
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.744223 5.357749 8.146574 14.169075 30.805878 108.510136 37944.483898
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.575681 5.120249 7.793441 13.578535 29.624278 105.355097 56972.146523
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.679288 5.352107 8.333490 15.100714 35.704800 161.960300 NaN